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"It is dangerous to be right in matters on which the established authorities are wrong." - Voltaire

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    Fetus Of A Universal War The current global situation is a live context to understanding Kissinger’s new book World Order. The events in the last decade leading to today’s crisis in the Middle East may well have prompted the writing of the book, or at least necessitated one like it. The melees in and around […]

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    The key to looking at all the current global dynamics is to understand the nature of a polycentric reality in the world’s power configuration. Polycentrism is a little-understood phenomenon in the post-WWII world, although it was not an unusual set of circumstances in other periods of world history. Here, I will not elaborate on the historical […]

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    One way to understand polycentrism is to draw a parallel with ecosystems. During polycentric times, the key to success is adaptability. In fact, it is the same story as with evolution. Size and overwhelming strength, if not managed and applied appropriately, can be a dangerous liability. It is a lesson we have learnt from the […]

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  • 01/05/17--14:35: Doublewood: Malacca Strait
  • Below details out the US-China confrontation in the South China Sea, highlighting the Malacca Strait and bringing into focus the real strategic stakes that are in play. This is a timely piece, as the specific issues and contentions are now shifting into the broader regional as well as global issues. At the start of 2017, […]

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  • 02/05/17--08:23: Who is Steve Bannon?
  • “[Trump is a] blunt instrument for us,” Bannon told me. “I really don’t know whether he really gets it or not.” -From Vanity Fair (August, 2016), courtesy of Truthstream Media Who is Steve Bannon? He is a frustrated, angry White male who studies Sun Tzu’s Art Of War in order to plot a comeback. Or […]

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  • 02/16/17--10:09: Flynn’s Flimflam
  • None of you is old enough to remember the Watergate affair of 1972-1974. The abrupt resignation of Michael Flynn, Donald Trump’s national security advisor, reminds me of the beginning of the fall of Richard Nixon. With respect to the current affair that may become known perhaps as Moscowgate, Flynn was thrust into the front line […]

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    War has raged worldwide since long before you were born. Recession has caused record levels of homelessness in city streets, and every day, more Americans come one small financial setback away from joining their ranks. Already, economists, bankers, politicians, and academics have begun pushing for a cashless society in order to monitor all spending and […]

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    As I was making the final edit of this post, analysts are beginning to observe that the US and Russia are on the verge of plunging into a new Cold War. This will have potentially game-changing effects on the entire global scenario. All minds are straining to assess what this will mean. Unlike the Cold […]

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    The formation of a Deep State-controlled digital surveillance God would be the ultimate, most apocalyptic form of dictatorship. And with ubiquitous digital devices, data-gathering services, and the Internet of Things collecting seemingly mundane information 24/7, we're opting in to deliver the raw material needed to create it.

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    This past quarter in the markets was one of the more interesting three-month periods we’ve had in a while. Not because of what took place, but rather, the lack of what took place, considering the boiling global geopolitical climate. Almost all of Q1 unfolded against a backdrop of zero volatility and confounding complacency not seen […]

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  • 04/03/17--10:34: Xi-Trump Meeting
  • This Thursday, Xi Jingping and Donald Trump will meet for the first time.  Usually, meetings between US and Chinese heads-of-state require a long period of time to prepare.  This will probably go down in history as one that takes place under rather bizarre circumstances, but it may end up being quite significant. Bizarre Circumstances (1) […]

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    This is what I understand to be the possible elements of a script anticipated on the Chinese side of the Xi-Trump summit. 1. Trump would kick off by asking for the sky from China. Xi and his entourage would remain silent, but flash broad congenial smiles at their host, saying without saying, “You are joking. […]

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  • 04/25/17--06:31: A New Normal
  • Rapid Changes In The World It is hard to believe that Xi Jingping and Donald Trump met as recently as April 6-7. The world has changed so much in the last couple of weeks that few could recognize it from what it was the week before the Xi-Trump meeting. Instead of a warming of US […]

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    Re-ignited Cold War At this point, as a result of the sequence of events in the past few years and other bizarre reasons, the US and Russia have re-ignited a Cold War. One of the characteristics of a Cold War is tic-for-tac actions, dirty tricks, and doing things that would foil or complicate matters for […]

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  • 06/29/17--16:14: Qatar and Beyond
  • *** In the Middle East, a friend of a friend can be an enemy, and an enemy of an enemy can also be an enemy. It is like an Opium Den in which every participant accuses others of breaking the law. *** A Powder Keg The showdown over Qatar triggered tension over two ongoing processes […]

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    Aside from Libertarian stalwarts like Ron Paul, and commentary from the likes of Michael Krieger and Zero Hedge, all of whom continue to ring alarm bells, civil libertarians and conservatives seem to have become much quieter under the Trump administration. I suspect a couple of major reasons for this: for one, complacency in their perception […]

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    Issuing extremely cryptic messages to the press corps after a dinner with some of the nation's top military commanders, Donald Trump appears to go out of his way to ask in a throaty, alluring tone, "you guys know what this represents?" After a reporter asks what he means he replies in a sort of throaty, teasing tone, "Maybe it's the calm before the storm."

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  • 11/11/17--10:44: US-China Cooperation
  • What we are witnessing is Diplomacy working at the highest level. It produces potentially good history for Mankind, rather than bad memories. It Is Cruising It has only been seven months since Xi met with Trump at Mar-a-Lago.  The progress on the Roadmap for US-China Relations is very encouraging indeed.  In addition to the signing […]

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  • 11/12/17--13:33: Game of Thrones Saudi Style
  • Investors have a lot to digest this week from geo political to a potential change in fiscal policy. On the economic front, we have CPI, Retail Sales, PPI and Building Permits.   Tax Cuts and Jobs Act: Every single lobby group continues to be in lockdown, as the Senate and House versions of the tax bill […]

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    The markets are acting extremely skittish in after-hours trading, on the heels of a pair of bombs exploding near the finish line of the Boston Marathon on Monday afternoon, killing two and injuring at least 23 people. With approximately 30 minutes left in trading, two blasts within seconds of each other were heard slightly more […]

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